Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.023173 0.025560 0.027937 0.030476 0.033106 0.035744 0.038586
2025-02-09 0.017769 0.021509 0.025364 0.029605 0.034113 0.038738 0.043822
2025-02-16 0.014771 0.019395 0.024301 0.029821 0.035799 0.042028 0.048962
2025-02-23 0.012320 0.017530 0.023212 0.029735 0.036911 0.044478 0.052987
2025-03-02 0.010222 0.015825 0.022105 0.029452 0.037646 0.046380 0.056283
2025-03-09 0.008563 0.014455 0.021240 0.029317 0.038438 0.048246 0.059444
2025-03-16 0.006839 0.012839 0.019971 0.028622 0.038517 0.049254 0.061598
2025-03-23 0.005763 0.011921 0.019445 0.028712 0.039418 0.051116 0.064633
2025-03-30 0.004595 0.010760 0.018546 0.028306 0.039705 0.052251 0.066825
2025-04-06 0.003447 0.009486 0.017427 0.027576 0.039571 0.052872 0.068409
2025-04-13 0.002264 0.007968 0.015899 0.026285 0.038732 0.052657 0.069022
2025-04-20 0.001867 0.007612 0.015847 0.026763 0.039932 0.054725 0.072160
2025-04-27 0.001236 0.006811 0.015266 0.026705 0.040653 0.056426 0.075098
2025-05-04 0.000549 0.005644 0.014127 0.025945 0.040570 0.057250 0.077110
2025-05-11 0.000241 0.005076 0.013782 0.026160 0.041628 0.059368 0.080568
2025-05-18 0.000032 0.004419 0.013238 0.026081 0.042302 0.061018 0.083473
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003738 0.012583 0.025812 0.042715 0.062341 0.085981
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003183 0.012061 0.025685 0.043276 0.063814 0.088639
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002474 0.011180 0.025027 0.043149 0.064456 0.090325
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002112 0.010859 0.025112 0.043928 0.066149 0.093200
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001631 0.010227 0.024728 0.044097 0.067103 0.095208
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001122 0.009412 0.024038 0.043852 0.067546 0.096608
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000579 0.008278 0.022819 0.042894 0.067112 0.096970